Common Sense Investing… The Real Gamblers
Friday, September 25th, 2009Those who know me know that I am optimistic by nature. Last February when the economic panic was peaking I taught a series of seminars entitled “A Case for Optimism” in which I demonstrated the reasons why the naysayers had it wrong. Many who attended those seminars were sincerely thankful for my perspective.
There will always be those who are negative. There will always be those who are pessimistic and who predict failure for our country, our economy, and our stock market. Over my 30 years in business I have often heard stock market investors compared to gamblers in a casino. Those who make this comparison lack understanding of what the stock market is.
Casino gamblers face two insurmountable laws; the law of large numbers and the law of averages. Both of these powerful laws guarantee that if the gambler plays long enough he will eventually go broke. The gambler is betting against natural law and obtains no value for the money wagered.
When you invest in the stock market you are personally taking ownership in hundreds or even thousands of businesses around the world that produce goods and services that the people of the world need and want. In the short term your investments can be volatile due mostly to emotions, but in the long term the volatility gives way to the profits and growth of those companies. Unlike gamblers, a wise investor obtains value for his dollars.
The DOW® is currently on a tremendous roll, up over 50% in just six months. It will not go up forever. Like all things in life it travels in cycles. Our jobs, emotions, health, finances, marriages, weather and teenagers all move in cycles. It is the nature of all life. A wise parent does not cast off a child just because they start acting like a 13 year old. A wise investor recognizes a market cycle for what it is and invests appropriately, neither getting too excited when it goes up, nor too discouraged when it goes down.
For over 200 years the US stock market has proven to be a tremendous machine for wealth creation. In the simplest sense it represents the hopes and hard work of the American people, and those who bet against it in my opinion are the true gamblers. Like gamblers, those who have preached against and bet against the ultimate success of this nation have always been disappointed.
Dan Wyson, CFP® is author of the book “21 Financial Myths” and owner of Wyson Financial. 1173 S. 250 W #305 St. George 435-986-9525 – Securities offered through LPL Financial member FINRA/SIPC










